Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | East Tennessee State Bucs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.3% | 54.7% | +1.0 | ✓ (21.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Bucs +22 (82-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.