Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.1% | 80.9% | +8.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +22 (70-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. McDowell | 32 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Schneider | 32 | 2-13 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3 | - |
| D. Sumner | 29 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 4-9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| K. Brown | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| C. Darnell | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. McCurdy | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| P. Stein | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Kitts | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Hess | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. McFadden | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Smith | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Swanston | 33 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| P. Curtis | 30 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| D. Moore | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. James | 22 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A. Semenov | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| J. Wells | 19 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| B. Louis | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Thornton | 15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| H. Ratner | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Parker | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Renkin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Knight | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter