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2009-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 42.1% 57.9% -
Bradley-Terry 68.7% 31.3% -
Margin 69.2% 30.8% -4.4 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 56.7% 43.3% -
Efficiency 88.3% 11.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.8% 44.2% -
Log Adjusted 55.6% 44.4% -

Actual: Brown Bears +2 (61-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lin 37 3-11 1-2 3-4 9 5 2 1 1 10 15 -
D. Housman 35 5-11 2-4 0-1 4 1 0 0 1 12 5 -
A. Pusar 32 4-10 2-6 1-2 4 0 1 1 1 11 6 -
K. Wright 32 4-6 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 1 1 10 11 -
O. McNally 25 3-6 1-2 1-2 4 0 2 0 2 8 6 -
P. Boehm 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
E. Harris 14 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 2 2 1 1 4 -
M. Kenyi 11 1-6 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 2 0 4 2 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Williams 40 4-12 2-5 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 10 1 -
P. Sullivan 39 2-12 0-6 4-5 6 2 1 0 1 8 4 -
M. Mullery 36 9-9 1-1 2-7 20 4 1 3 1 21 39 -
C. Skrelja 35 3-8 0-2 1-2 9 6 1 1 4 7 12 -
G. Leffelman 31 4-12 1-6 0-0 1 3 0 1 1 9 1 -
C. Taylor 8 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
S. Kane 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Gruber 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 2 -

* = starter