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2009-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 31.6% 68.4% -
Bradley-Terry 73.0% 27.0% -
Margin 78.1% 21.9% -7.0 (21.0 off)
Pythagorean 57.0% 43.0% -
Efficiency 3.1% 96.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.2% 31.8% -
Log Adjusted 68.6% 31.4% -

Actual: Columbia Lions +14 (58-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Buczak 32 2-6 0-2 1-2 2 3 1 2 2 5 5 -
M. Schroeder 32 3-6 3-5 0-0 6 2 3 0 2 9 12 -
D. Davis 30 4-8 2-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 10 6 -
D. Mavraides 30 2-6 0-2 1-2 3 0 1 0 2 5 1 -
P. Saunders 29 4-6 0-2 1-1 5 2 0 0 2 9 8 -
K. Maddox 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
M. Strittmatter 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
N. Lake 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
Z. Finley 8 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
J. Comfort 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Foley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Briggs 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Miller 35 5-9 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 10 5 -
K. Bulger 34 1-5 0-0 4-4 4 2 2 0 1 6 8 -
N. Agho 28 1-6 0-5 1-3 7 3 2 0 2 3 7 -
N. Scott 25 3-7 2-3 0-1 3 4 0 0 2 8 6 -
K.J. Matsui 24 5-8 5-8 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 17 10 -
J. Bova 22 3-4 0-0 4-5 2 0 1 0 0 10 9 -
S. Egee 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -
M. Johnson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Crimmins 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
I. Mase 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Crockett 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Trepanier 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter