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2009-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 10.8% 89.2% -
Bradley-Terry 30.6% 69.4% -
Margin 23.5% 76.5% +6.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 29.4% 70.6% -
Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.7% 84.3% -
Log Adjusted 15.7% 84.3% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +1 (63-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hannah 32 2-9 2-7 2-2 4 4 0 0 2 8 5 -
T. Murry 32 4-13 1-5 0-0 2 2 2 1 5 9 -2 -
R. Clemente 27 3-9 0-0 2-2 11 0 3 1 3 8 11 -
A.J. Hawkins 26 0-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
J.T. Durley 22 7-10 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 0 3 17 8 -
A. Ellis 19 1-4 0-0 0-1 7 1 1 0 1 2 6 -
G. Hatch 17 3-6 2-4 4-4 4 0 0 0 1 12 9 -
G. Stutz 9 0-3 0-1 2-3 4 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
R. Chamberlain 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Kyles 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 4 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Stinnett 30 4-8 0-2 1-3 4 2 4 0 7 9 4 -
J. Dotzler 24 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 6 2 0 0 3 8 -
B. Woodfox 23 7-14 1-5 2-3 2 1 0 0 1 17 5 -
K. Lawson Jr. 22 5-7 0-0 4-4 3 0 2 2 0 14 14 -
J. Carter 21 2-3 0-0 1-5 2 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
C. Witter 21 1-10 1-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 3 -4 -
A. Young 18 3-6 2-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 10 5 -
C. Harriman 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Walker II 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
C. Millard 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 3 -
K. Korver 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter