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Southern Illinois Salukis 55
@
Bradley Braves 67
2009-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 10.7% 89.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% - ✓
Margin 35.9% 64.1% +3.2 ✓ (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 25.3% 74.7% - ✓
Efficiency 8.6% 91.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 16.1% 83.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 16.0% 84.0% - ✓

Actual: Bradley Braves +12 (67-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Dillard 40 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 6 1 0 2 0 3 -
R. Hare 37 5-10 3-5 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 13 5 -
C. Fay 31 2-10 0-5 3-5 7 1 1 0 2 7 4 -
T. Boyle 30 6-12 0-0 4-6 6 1 1 2 1 16 13 -
J. Bocot 26 1-10 1-4 0-0 5 3 1 1 2 3 1 -
W. Clemmons 19 2-4 1-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 3 7 4 -
A. Booker 10 4-6 1-2 0-2 4 0 0 0 3 9 4 -
N. Evans 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. McCain 33 2-5 0-0 3-4 1 3 2 0 2 7 6 -
S. Maniscalco 33 3-11 1-6 14-14 2 3 1 0 1 21 15 -
T. Wilson 33 6-11 0-1 2-5 9 1 2 0 2 14 13 -
C. Roberts 27 2-7 1-3 1-2 7 2 1 2 2 6 9 -
D. Collins 23 1-1 0-0 0-1 9 0 1 2 4 2 9 -
S. Singh 17 4-4 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
D. Norris 15 3-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 7 4 -
D. Dunson 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
T. Brown 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
B. Lavin 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Thompson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Phillips 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter