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2009-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 11.5% 88.5% -
Bradley-Terry 17.0% 83.0% -
Margin 9.7% 90.3% +12.3 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 22.6% 77.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.9% 93.1% -
Log Adjusted 6.8% 93.2% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +12 (74-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Barnett 36 4-19 1-6 3-6 3 0 1 2 2 12 -3 -
M. Sanders 30 5-8 0-0 2-3 3 3 5 0 5 12 10 -
J. Trotter 26 4-10 2-4 3-4 2 4 3 0 5 13 7 -
D. Rufful 19 2-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 6 0 -
C. Weeden 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 0 5 -
D. Biber 17 5-5 2-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 12 9 -
K. Graeber 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
R. Dixon 15 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
H. Kouna 10 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 2 3 1 4 -
R. Pride 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
E. Fitzgerald 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Crecco 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Pinick 35 8-9 0-0 5-6 4 0 3 2 4 21 17 -
R. Morin 32 4-9 1-3 10-10 3 2 1 0 1 19 15 -
A. Zampier 29 4-11 0-0 2-2 6 2 2 0 4 10 5 -
C. Andrews 24 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 3 2 0 5 5 3 -
G. Fiddler 22 3-6 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 3 1 7 11 -
J. Gibson 16 1-2 0-0 3-4 0 2 3 0 0 5 8 -
P. Braswell 16 1-1 1-1 0-1 1 3 1 0 2 3 5 -
P. Nelson 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
M. Sands 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Mangano 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Rose 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter