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2009-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Alabama A&M Bulldogs Grambling Tigers Spread Result
Elo 46.4% 53.6% +0.5 โœ— (18.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 54.5% 45.5% - โœ“
Margin 50.9% 49.1% -0.2 โœ“ (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 65.3% 34.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 69.3% 30.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 69.2% 30.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.7% 49.3% - โœ“

Actual: Grambling Tigers -18 (45-63). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Alabama A&M Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trant Simpson 35 8-13 4-6 1-1 3 3 3 0 2 21 15 -
Kudus Ogbara 31 4-6 0-1 2-4 0 1 1 1 3 10 4 -
Casey Cantey 30 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 4 7 -
Jonathan Belt 23 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 1 5 8 -
Cornelius Hester 22 2-7 1-4 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
Desmond Jackson 18 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 7 7 -
Jonathan Inman 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
John Smith 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 4 8 -
Reggie Porter 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Royce Hamilton 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Marcus Lee 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donald Qualls 31 4-13 2-9 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 10 -3 -
Marcus Coleman 28 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 2 3 -
Ariece Perkins 27 3-7 0-1 2-4 5 4 0 0 1 8 9 -
Ibrahim Kpaka 24 3-11 0-2 2-3 2 1 2 0 0 8 2 -
Jordan Lemons 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -
Corrie Austin 19 1-5 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 0 3 3 4 -
Jarred Riley 18 3-4 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 2 1 6 7 -
Kevin Loyd 17 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
George Akpele 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 3 -

* = starter