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2009-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers Xavier Musketeers Spread Result
Elo 58.0% 42.0% -
Bradley-Terry 38.0% 62.0% -
Margin 32.5% 67.5% +4.0 (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 24.1% 75.9% -
Efficiency 6.7% 93.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.4% 94.6% -
Log Adjusted 5.3% 94.7% -

Actual: Xavier Musketeers +17 (76-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Johnson 32 8-21 2-7 1-1 3 2 1 0 2 19 2 -
C. Little 30 5-14 0-0 1-1 5 1 1 3 3 11 4 -
L. Warren 26 1-5 0-1 1-3 3 5 1 0 1 3 6 -
C. Wright 25 4-9 0-0 2-4 4 0 3 1 3 10 6 -
C. Johnson 18 1-3 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 2 4 6 -
K. Huelsman 17 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Perry 16 3-5 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 7 7 -
S. Thomas 14 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 4 -1 -
P. Williams 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
L. Fabrizius 10 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 -

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B.J. Raymond 32 5-15 2-8 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 14 2 -
D. Brown 30 4-9 1-2 2-4 12 3 1 2 3 11 17 -
D. Jackson 24 4-7 3-5 3-4 8 3 3 0 1 14 20 -
C.J. Anderson 24 1-9 0-0 2-2 7 2 1 0 1 4 4 -
J. Love 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 5 1 2 9 -
T. Holloway 20 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 4 2 -
K. Frease 17 3-6 0-0 2-3 7 1 1 3 4 8 10 -
B. Redford 16 3-6 3-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 9 1 -
J. McLean 14 4-4 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 2 1 10 14 -

* = starter