Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +17 (76-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson | 32 | 8-21 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 2 | - |
| C. Little | 30 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| L. Warren | 26 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| C. Wright | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Johnson | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Perry | 16 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Thomas | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| P. Williams | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Fabrizius | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Raymond | 32 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| D. Brown | 30 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| D. Jackson | 24 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| C.J. Anderson | 24 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Love | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| T. Holloway | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Frease | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | - |
| B. Redford | 16 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. McLean | 14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
* = starter