Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | +6.3 | ✗ (33.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -27 (72-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Daniels | 31 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 9-11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| M. Hill | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| R. Mels | 26 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| V. Cordell | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| T. Townsend | 22 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| R. Haynes | 22 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| W. Galick | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Osunsanmi | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| T. Taylor | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| X. Crawford | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Wallace | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Lizarraga | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Harden | 32 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| V. Oliver | 30 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | -4 | - |
| D. Calegari | 29 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Payne | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Carter | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 17 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| R. Silva | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Boone | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| N. Clark | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Oestreicher | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Toth | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter