Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon Ducks | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: USC Trojans +14 (80-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Porter | 34 | 7-14 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 3 | - |
| L. Longmire | 31 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| M. Humphrey | 24 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Dunigan | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Catron | 19 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Wiley | 17 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Crittle | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| G. Sim | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Williams | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Brown | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| F. Dorsainvil | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hackett | 35 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 22 | - |
| D. Lewis | 35 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -1 | - |
| T. Gibson | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 23 | - |
| D. DeRozan | 30 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| N. Vucevic | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Washington | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| M. Simmons | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| D. Smith | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Johnson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Wilkinson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter