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2009-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Central Arkansas Bears Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 14.6% 85.4% -
Bradley-Terry 15.1% 84.9% -
Margin 5.7% 94.3% +15.4 (6.6 off)

Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +22 (61-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Central Arkansas Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Clayborn 29 2-9 0-4 3-5 3 2 2 0 3 7 2 -
M. Rueter 28 2-7 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 7 -1 -
I. Qahwash 22 4-7 0-1 2-3 8 0 1 0 1 10 11 -
K. Cannon 22 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 -3 -
L. Brewer 22 3-8 0-0 3-5 10 1 0 1 5 9 8 -
B. Marks 20 0-4 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 1 1 2 7 -
M. Pillow 19 0-6 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -5 -
B. Taylor 17 1-8 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 2 -6 -
A. Silverman 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 -
C. Henson 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kingsley 28 5-8 0-0 2-4 7 2 0 3 0 12 16 -
J. Alexander 27 3-12 2-7 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 8 1 -
G. Adams 25 1-7 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 3 -2 -
N. Shaw 24 5-6 1-2 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 11 12 -
E. Bell 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
B. Akpan 13 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
W. Harris 13 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 5 4 -
Z. Williams 12 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
E. Williams 9 1-3 0-0 2-4 1 0 1 0 1 4 2 -
J. Scott 8 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 1 3 3 -
A. Smith 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. McDaniel 5 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
P. Davis 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Falke 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
C. James 2 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -

* = starter