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2009-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 3.8% 96.2% -
Bradley-Terry 26.7% 73.3% -
Margin 18.1% 81.9% +8.3 (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% -
Efficiency 10.5% 89.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.0% 82.0% -
Log Adjusted 18.0% 82.0% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -3 (61-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Coble 34 7-10 0-0 2-2 8 2 0 1 1 16 16 -
C. Moore 34 4-9 3-7 1-3 2 6 1 0 2 12 10 -
M. Thompson 33 4-9 2-5 2-3 1 2 2 0 1 12 7 -
L. Mirkovic 27 3-8 0-0 0-0 8 5 0 0 0 6 11 -
J. Shurna 21 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
J. Nash 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 2 1 -
J. Ryan 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
K. Rowley 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
S. Williams 10 2-3 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
I. Peljusic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Moore 35 5-12 3-7 1-2 3 3 0 1 2 14 7 -
R. Hummel 34 2-6 1-2 3-5 6 4 1 0 1 8 12 -
C. Kramer 30 2-4 0-1 4-6 4 2 2 0 0 8 12 -
K. Grant 30 4-8 3-7 3-3 3 1 0 3 1 14 12 -
J. Johnson 28 4-9 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 1 0 11 6 -
L. Jackson 23 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
N. Calasan 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 -2 -
M. Green 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
B. Riddell 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter