Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.3% | 93.7% | +14.8 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +3 (46-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 34 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Henke | 30 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| T. Noonan | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| E. Washington | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Holland | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| G. Parker | 16 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| T. Stewart | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Schafer | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Provost | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. McLain | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Bellfield | 37 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Willis | 34 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| W. Adams | 34 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J. Darger | 28 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| R. Rougeau | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| M. Rutledge | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Wallace | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Santee | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Ketchum | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter