Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | +0.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +9 (80-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Hodge | 35 | 8-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| D. Werner | 33 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Tyus | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| N. Calathes | 28 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| R. Shipman | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| E. Walker | 20 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -3 | - |
| C. Parsons | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| K. Kadji | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Chaney | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bost | 31 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| B. Stewart | 30 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| R. Johnson | 29 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| J. Varnado | 28 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| P. Turner | 26 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| K. Augustus | 15 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| E. Bailey | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| R. Benock | 11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Beckham | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Osby | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Gay | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter