Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.7% | 74.3% | +5.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +14 (80-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Johnson | 35 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 9-12 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Shank | 29 | 3-11 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | - |
| T. Gabbidon | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Smith IV | 26 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D. Gibson | 19 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Bonney | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| D. Stepter | 15 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| L. Jackson | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| C. Allen | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| R. Frohlich | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jefferson | 35 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Benson | 30 | 5-14 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| B. Bush | 30 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 9-12 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 32 | - |
| J. Rybak | 26 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Johnson | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 9 | - |
| R. White | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Bowman | 13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Moseley | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Gough | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Sloan | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Jackson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter