Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.4% | 39.6% | -2.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -8 (78-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Ellington | 35 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| T. Hansbrough | 35 | 7-16 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - |
| T. Lawson | 35 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 8-12 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| D. Green | 32 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Thompson | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| E. Davis | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| B. Frasor | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| L. Drew II | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Zeller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Delaney | 38 | 4-16 | 1-7 | 10-10 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| A.D. Vassallo | 38 | 11-21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 9 | - |
| J. Allen | 35 | 7-19 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| H. Thorns | 31 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Thompson | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Diakite | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Hudson | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| V. Davila | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Witcher | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter