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2009-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 76.3% 23.7% -
Bradley-Terry 36.7% 63.3% -
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -
Efficiency 17.5% 82.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.8% 74.2% -
Log Adjusted 25.8% 74.2% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -8 (67-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Beal 38 7-13 3-7 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 17 7 -
A.J. Ogilvy 33 12-17 0-1 9-14 10 3 0 2 5 33 26 -
B. Tinsley 29 2-7 2-4 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 8 7 -
J. Taylor 27 2-6 0-1 1-4 6 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
S. Tchiengang 20 1-2 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 1 0 5 8 -
G. Drake 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. McClellan 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Goulbourne 13 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
F. Ezeli 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mitchell 37 3-9 0-1 10-12 8 2 0 1 1 16 17 -
M. Thornton 37 7-19 1-6 3-6 4 3 2 0 2 18 6 -
B. Spencer 31 4-12 4-9 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 14 3 -
C. Johnson 27 2-7 0-0 3-4 9 2 0 4 1 7 14 -
G. Temple 24 2-6 0-3 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 5 5 -
T. Martin 21 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 7 7 -
Q. Thornton 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
S. Warren 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
C. Bass 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Farrer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter