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2009-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Georgia Bulldogs Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 39.5% 60.5% -
Bradley-Terry 19.4% 80.6% -
Margin 10.2% 89.8% +11.9 (16.9 off)
Pythagorean 14.6% 85.4% -
Efficiency 25.6% 74.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.4% 98.6% -
Log Adjusted 1.4% 98.6% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -5 (85-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Woodbury 37 7-13 4-4 12-12 3 5 0 1 6 30 20 -
C. Butler 34 3-5 3-3 4-4 6 3 2 0 0 13 19 -
T. Thompkins 32 8-13 2-4 1-2 11 0 2 2 2 19 19 -
D. Ware 30 4-8 2-4 8-9 3 5 0 0 6 18 12 -
A. Jackson 25 2-4 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 2 1 4 5 -
C. Barnes 21 3-9 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 3 1 6 2 -
Z. Swansey 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 0 1 -
R. McPhee 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Patterson 36 4-10 0-0 6-6 9 2 0 8 0 14 23 -
M. Porter 30 5-9 5-8 0-0 2 3 3 1 2 15 13 -
D. Miller 29 3-7 1-3 2-2 5 2 2 0 3 9 8 -
J. Meeks 28 6-16 2-7 9-10 1 3 2 1 3 23 11 -
P. Stevenson 23 4-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 1 8 6 -
R. Harris 20 2-3 1-1 5-6 1 3 5 1 0 10 17 -
K. Galloway 18 0-4 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 3 2 -2 -
J. Harrellson 8 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 2 0 2 6 -
J. Carter 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
L. Slone 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Liggins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Krebs 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter