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2009-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Lafayette Leopards American University Eagles Spread Result
Elo 20.1% 79.9% -
Bradley-Terry 35.0% 65.0% -
Margin 27.9% 72.1% +5.2 (16.8 off)

Actual: American University Eagles +22 (78-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lafayette Leopards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gruner 37 4-7 0-1 2-2 4 3 2 0 3 10 9 -
A. Brown 35 4-14 3-8 3-3 2 2 1 0 2 14 3 -
R. Willen 33 2-9 0-3 3-5 3 1 1 0 2 7 1 -
J. Kari 30 5-9 3-6 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 13 8 -
J. Mintz 24 1-6 0-1 4-4 3 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
J. Mower 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 3 4 -
R. Delaney 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
A. Orchowski 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Koltun 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
B. Wheeler 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
J.D. Pelham 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Moore 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Carr 40 6-14 3-10 4-5 3 3 1 0 1 19 11 -
D. Mercer 39 9-13 1-2 1-1 7 5 0 0 1 20 18 -
B. Gilmore 36 8-12 1-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 17 11 -
F. Borden 24 4-6 0-1 0-1 5 3 0 1 2 8 9 -
J. Nichols 22 3-4 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 1 4 7 5 -
S. Lumpkins 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 0 2 5 -
N. Hendra 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Simon 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Wilson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Luptak 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Hill 0 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
F. Markusovic 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter