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2009-06-27

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 41.0% 59.0% - โœ“
Margin 41.8% 58.2% +1.8 โœ“ (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 51.5% 48.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 57.4% 42.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 57.4% 42.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.5% 52.5% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Sky +5 (68-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Harding 40 6-11 0-2 3-6 6 6 3 0 6 15 13 -
A. Beard 37 4-11 1-2 5-6 4 1 6 0 5 14 9 -
C. Melvin 33 2-4 0-0 0-2 9 4 1 1 1 4 14 -
C. Langhorne 29 5-8 0-0 2-4 8 1 1 0 4 12 10 -
M. Currie 29 4-12 1-2 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 9 5 -
N. Sanford 14 1-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 2 -4 -
M. Ajavon 12 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 5 1 -
T. Humphrey 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Mann 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Candice Dupree 37 9-18 0-2 5-6 7 1 0 0 3 23 10 -
J. Perkins 32 6-15 1-3 1-2 4 5 8 0 3 14 13 -
Sylvia Fowles 30 5-8 0-0 3-8 10 1 1 4 3 13 18 -
D. Canty 25 1-7 0-0 2-4 3 2 2 0 4 4 0 -
E. Thorn 20 1-4 1-2 4-4 4 2 3 0 1 7 11 -
A. Herrington 18 1-4 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
B. Wyckoff 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -1 -
C. Nan 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 0 -1 -
Kristi Toliver 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Ely-Gash 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter