Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +14 (82-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Holdsclaw | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -2 | - |
| E. de Souza | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 10 | - |
| I. Castro | 28 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| N. Teasley | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Lehning | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Snow | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| J. Lacy | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Miller | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Whitmore | 34 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Jones | 32 | 10-20 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 16 | - |
| K. Gardin | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| L. Whalen | 27 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| E. Phillips | 26 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| T. White | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Brown | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Turner | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Ervin | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter