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2009-06-27

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 49.8% 50.2% -
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% -
Margin 37.8% 62.2% +2.7 (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun +14 (82-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Holdsclaw 29 5-11 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 5 10 -2 -
E. de Souza 28 5-7 0-0 2-4 8 1 1 0 5 12 10 -
I. Castro 28 6-12 1-4 3-4 2 1 4 0 1 16 10 -
N. Teasley 21 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Lehning 19 0-1 0-1 2-2 4 4 0 0 0 2 9 -
S. Lyttle 19 1-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 4 4 0 -
M. Snow 19 2-2 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 0 1 6 12 -
J. Lacy 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Miller 12 1-2 1-2 3-3 2 0 0 0 2 6 4 -
A. McCoughtry 11 4-8 0-0 4-4 1 1 1 0 2 12 5 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Whitmore 34 1-9 0-1 2-2 4 2 4 0 1 4 4 -
A. Jones 32 10-20 0-2 4-7 12 3 1 0 4 24 16 -
K. Gardin 28 3-9 0-0 4-7 10 1 2 2 1 10 15 -
L. Whalen 27 3-8 0-1 8-9 4 5 0 0 2 14 13 -
E. Phillips 26 6-8 4-5 1-2 0 1 2 0 1 17 11 -
T. White 16 2-5 1-3 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 6 5 -
K. Brown 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 2 0 2 0 -1 -
B. Turner 13 1-5 0-2 1-1 2 2 0 0 0 3 2 -
L. Ervin 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -

* = starter