Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.3% | 45.7% | -0.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -6 (87-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 17 | - |
| T. Smith | 34 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 32 | 10-21 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 9 | - |
| T. Johnson | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| L. Willingham | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Bonner | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| K. Swanier | 10 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Harding | 38 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| A. Beard | 37 | 9-21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| C. Melvin | 24 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| N. Sanford | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Currie | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| T. Humphrey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter