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2009-06-23

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury San Antonio Silver Stars Spread Result
Elo 68.7% 31.3% -
Bradley-Terry 66.9% 33.1% -
Margin 58.1% 41.9% -1.8 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 59.5% 40.5% -

Actual: San Antonio Silver Stars +4 (91-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Taurasi 34 6-13 2-5 8-9 8 2 2 1 1 22 21 -
C. Pondexter 33 8-17 3-3 7-8 6 2 1 0 7 26 11 -
T. Smith 32 3-13 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 2 2 7 -3 -
T. Johnson 30 4-8 0-2 0-0 4 5 1 0 4 8 6 -
L. Willingham 20 2-4 0-0 7-7 2 3 0 0 3 11 9 -
D. Bonner 19 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 2 4 -
K. Mazzante 15 3-4 3-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 6 -
K. Swanier 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
N. Ohlde 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 2 5 -

San Antonio Silver Stars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Riley 34 6-9 2-3 2-2 5 4 0 4 0 16 20 -
S. Young-Malcolm 33 5-17 0-0 3-5 8 5 3 0 1 13 11 -
B. Hammon 32 7-17 1-5 4-5 5 3 2 1 2 19 11 -
B. Snell 24 7-11 3-7 4-6 4 2 4 0 0 21 20 -
V. Johnson 21 3-7 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 6 4 -
H. Darling 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 4 4 -
E. Perperoglou 15 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -
M. Frazee 10 3-4 1-1 2-4 2 2 0 2 1 9 10 -
E. Lawson-Wade 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 0 -2 -
K. Mattera 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter