Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Peay Governors | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.2% | 49.8% | -0.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles -4 (74-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.