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2009-06-21

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 40.3% 59.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 45.7% 54.3% - โœ—
Margin 35.9% 64.1% +3.2 โœ— (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 46.0% 54.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.0% 58.0% - โœ—

Actual: Atlanta Dream -12 (81-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shameka Christon * 32 6-10 3-5 2-2 7 2 0 2 0 17 18 -
Loree Moore * 25 3-6 1-3 0-1 8 8 1 0 2 7 16 -
Cathrine Kraayeveld * 24 5-10 2-6 1-1 2 3 1 0 5 13 4 -
Janel McCarville * 19 7-11 0-0 1-1 1 1 1 0 3 15 4 -
Essence Carson * 16 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 2 1 0 0 3 3 -
Ashley Battle 23 6-7 2-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 14 12 -
Tiffany Jackson 15 1-2 0-0 5-7 3 0 1 0 2 7 7 -
Leilani Mitchell 14 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 5 0 0 3 4 5 -
Erlana Larkins 13 2-5 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 1 1 6 2 -
Kia Vaughn 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Sidney Spencer 6 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 5 6 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Erika de Souza * 29 6-10 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 4 13 4 -
Chamique Holdsclaw * 28 6-18 1-1 4-4 5 2 2 0 1 17 7 -
Sancho Lyttle * 27 4-7 0-0 5-5 9 1 3 0 2 13 17 -
Nikki Teasley * 26 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 5 2 0 1 3 8 -
Iziane Castro Marques * 21 5-12 2-6 2-2 0 1 0 0 3 14 0 -
Coco Miller 14 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 0 -
Shalee Lehning 13 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
Michelle Snow 12 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
Angel McCoughtry 10 3-7 0-1 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 10 4 -
Jennifer Lacy 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Tamera Young 4 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter