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2009-06-21

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 26.9% 73.1% -
Bradley-Terry 31.4% 68.6% -
Margin 24.9% 75.1% +6.1 (18.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream -12 (81-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Christon 33 6-10 3-5 2-2 7 2 0 2 0 17 18 -
C. Kraayeveld 25 5-10 2-6 1-1 2 3 1 0 5 13 4 -
L. Moore 25 3-6 1-3 0-1 8 8 1 0 2 7 16 -
A. Battle 24 6-7 2-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 14 12 -
J. McCarville 20 7-11 0-0 1-1 1 1 1 0 3 15 4 -
E. Carson 16 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 2 1 0 0 3 3 -
T. Jackson-Jones 15 1-2 0-0 5-7 3 0 1 0 2 7 7 -
L. Mitchell 15 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 5 0 0 3 4 5 -
E. Larkins 13 2-5 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 1 1 6 2 -
S. Spencer 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 5 6 -
K. Vaughn 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. de Souza 30 6-10 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 4 13 4 -
C. Holdsclaw 29 6-18 1-1 4-4 5 2 2 0 1 17 7 -
S. Lyttle 28 4-7 0-0 5-5 9 1 3 0 2 13 17 -
N. Teasley 27 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 5 2 0 1 3 8 -
I. Castro 22 5-12 2-6 2-2 0 1 0 0 3 14 0 -
C. Miller 14 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 0 -
S. Lehning 13 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
M. Snow 12 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
A. McCoughtry 11 3-7 0-1 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 10 4 -
J. Lacy 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
T. Young 4 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter