Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.1% | 33.9% | -3.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -9 (84-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Jackson * | 36 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 35 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 35 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Tanisha Wright * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Camille Smith * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Shannon Johnson | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Janell Burse | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Katie Gearlds | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 34 | 6-12 | 6-11 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 33 | 7-18 | 0-4 | 8-10 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 30 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Kelly Mazzante | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nicole Ohlde | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter