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Detroit Shock 70
@
Indiana Fever 82
2009-06-21

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Shock Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 42.2% 57.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% - ✓
Margin 28.5% 71.5% +5.1 ✓ (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 38.8% 61.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 40.4% 59.6% - ✓

Actual: Indiana Fever +12 (82-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nolan 37 8-20 0-4 0-0 8 6 2 0 2 16 10 -
K. Smith 35 6-14 3-8 0-0 1 3 1 0 4 15 2 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 33 5-12 0-0 1-4 7 1 1 0 4 11 4 -
A. Hornbuckle 31 2-5 0-1 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 4 6 -
C. Ford 23 2-6 0-1 1-2 5 0 2 0 0 5 6 -
S. Zellous 18 4-6 2-2 3-3 1 0 0 0 2 13 6 -
O. Sanni 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
B. Farris 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
K. Haynie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Douglas 39 9-11 3-5 2-2 6 2 2 1 2 23 21 -
T. Catchings 36 4-7 1-3 6-6 3 6 2 2 3 15 18 -
T. Sutton-Brown 32 5-7 0-0 3-4 9 4 1 2 2 13 20 -
E. Hoffman 25 3-8 0-1 0-0 5 3 1 0 3 6 4 -
Briann January 24 1-6 1-3 2-4 1 3 2 0 1 5 4 -
T. Bevilaqua 16 3-7 2-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 8 3 -
T. Dixon 16 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 8 7 -
J. Moore 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
J. Davenport 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter