Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +9.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +3 (84-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Douglas | 37 | 9-20 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 17 | - |
| U. Echefu | 33 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| D. Kitchen | 30 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| S. Alabi | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| C. Singleton | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. DeMercy | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Loucks | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Reid | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Dulkys | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| X. Gibson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Scheyer | 35 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 8-11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| G. Henderson | 35 | 6-17 | 2-5 | 7-9 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| K. Singler | 35 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| E. Williams | 30 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 3-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| G. Paulus | 20 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. McClure | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Pocius | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Thomas | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter