Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.7% | 46.3% | -0.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -5 (59-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 35 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| T. Walton | 30 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| G. Suton | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Roe | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| R. Morgan | 22 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| D. Summers | 22 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| C. Allen | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| K. Lucious | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Green | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Gray | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Jones III | 35 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 10 | - |
| K. Taber | 33 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| T. Pritchard | 31 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| N. Williams | 26 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. Story | 26 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| M. Roth | 20 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| B. Finkelmeier | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Moore | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Jobe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Dumes | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter