Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.5% | 52.5% | +0.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -5 (62-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikki Teasley * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 28 | 5-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Coco Miller | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 11 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Shalee Lehning | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Michelle Snow | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Tamera Young | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asjha Jones * | 32 | 3-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Erin Phillips * | 29 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Chante Black * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Kerri Gardin * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Barbara Turner | 23 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 13 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Lauren Ervin | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kristi Cirone | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter