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2009-06-14

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 49.8% 50.2% -
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% -
Margin 37.8% 62.2% +2.7 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun -5 (62-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Teasley 30 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 5 1 0 2 2 5 -
C. Holdsclaw 29 5-13 2-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 12 2 -
S. Lyttle 27 7-11 0-0 6-6 15 2 0 1 3 20 24 -
E. de Souza 26 4-5 0-0 2-2 4 2 1 2 1 10 13 -
I. Castro 21 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 4 3 -
C. Miller 18 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 3 1 0 1 6 6 -
A. McCoughtry 12 2-7 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 4 -1 -
J. Lacy 11 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
M. Snow 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
S. Lehning 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 0 0 -
T. Young 6 0-0 0-0 1-3 2 0 0 0 2 1 1 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jones 33 3-14 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 0 2 6 -1 -
L. Whalen 32 4-13 1-5 7-8 7 5 2 0 2 16 15 -
E. Phillips 30 3-11 1-6 4-4 6 0 4 0 1 11 9 -
B. Turner 23 1-7 1-5 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 5 -1 -
C. Black 21 2-5 0-0 1-1 9 0 1 1 3 5 8 -
T. Whitmore 19 1-5 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 -2 -
K. Gardin 18 2-5 0-2 3-6 3 1 0 1 0 7 7 -
K. Brown 14 2-5 1-4 1-1 3 0 1 0 1 6 4 -
L. Ervin 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
K. Cirone 4 1-3 0-2 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter