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2009-06-12

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 45.3% 54.7% - โœ“
Margin 52.7% 47.3% -0.6 โœ— (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 56.3% 43.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 66.6% 33.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 66.7% 33.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 52.8% 47.2% - โœ—

Actual: Chicago Sky +8 (81-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Castro 28 8-16 1-4 3-6 1 2 1 0 1 20 7 -
N. Teasley 25 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 5 2 -
E. de Souza 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 1 1 4 10 -
S. Lyttle 23 5-7 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 11 7 -
C. Miller 22 3-9 0-4 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 6 2 -
C. Holdsclaw 21 2-8 0-0 3-4 1 1 2 0 2 7 1 -
J. Lacy 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Angel McCoughtry 15 3-8 0-1 5-7 1 0 1 1 1 11 5 -
M. Snow 14 1-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
T. Young 7 2-6 1-2 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 5 2 -
S. Lehning 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Candice Dupree 34 8-18 3-5 4-4 8 2 0 2 3 23 14 -
J. Perkins 33 6-12 2-3 3-4 7 8 1 0 0 17 21 -
Sylvia Fowles 31 6-10 0-0 6-11 6 0 0 2 4 18 12 -
D. Canty 25 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 3 0 0 2 4 3 -
B. Wyckoff 19 2-3 1-1 0-0 5 3 0 1 2 5 9 -
S. Ely-Gash 16 1-4 0-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 4 3 -
C. Nan 14 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 3 1 6 8 -
A. Herrington 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
Kristi Toliver 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 4 2 0 -
E. Thorn 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K.B. Sharp 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter