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2009-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 46.3% 53.7% -
Bradley-Terry 52.4% 47.6% -
Margin 52.2% 47.8% -0.5 (16.5 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% -
Efficiency 25.3% 74.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% -
Log Adjusted 22.0% 78.0% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns +16 (73-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Carter 37 2-7 1-5 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 5 3 -
L. Dunn 32 3-12 2-7 7-10 3 0 1 0 1 15 6 -
K. Rogers 31 3-6 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 4 7 4 -
C. Jerrells 30 3-17 2-7 6-8 8 3 1 0 0 14 9 -
H. Dugat 26 3-7 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 1 -
Q. Acy 15 1-2 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 2 0 2 4 -
J. Lomers 14 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 6 4 -
M. Diene 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Jones 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
F. Ellis 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Wright 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Abrams 40 3-7 1-3 7-8 3 0 1 0 2 14 9 -
J. Mason 33 5-10 0-0 4-6 4 4 0 0 0 14 12 -
D. Balbay 27 3-6 0-0 0-2 4 6 1 0 1 6 10 -
D. Pittman 23 7-8 0-0 2-4 7 1 1 0 1 16 16 -
D. James 22 3-9 0-2 3-5 11 1 0 1 3 9 10 -
H. Smith 21 2-7 0-2 2-3 6 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
C. Chapman 17 3-6 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 1 2 6 3 -
C. Atchley 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
M. Hill 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter