Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.0% | 83.0% | +8.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +7 (91-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kraayeveld | 33 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| E. Carson | 30 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| A. Battle | 30 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| J. McCarville | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| L. Moore | 21 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Spencer | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E. Larkins | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 35 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 17 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| T. Smith | 32 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| T. Johnson | 30 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Bonner | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| L. Willingham | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Swanier | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter