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2009-06-07

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 28.1% 71.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 32.4% 67.6% - โœ—
Margin 31.7% 68.3% +4.2 โœ— (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 39.8% 60.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 39.7% 60.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% - โœ—

Actual: New York Liberty -9 (57-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lindsay Whalen * 33 6-14 0-4 2-4 12 2 2 0 1 14 15 -
Erin Phillips * 29 5-12 3-6 0-0 4 1 1 0 4 13 3 -
Asjha Jones * 27 4-12 0-1 2-2 6 1 1 0 1 10 5 -
Kerri Gardin * 16 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 4 0 -
Chante Black * 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Tamika Whitmore 25 4-9 1-2 2-3 8 2 0 0 1 11 11 -
Barbara Turner 23 2-9 0-6 3-4 2 0 0 0 1 7 -1 -
Kiesha Brown 18 2-4 2-3 1-2 4 2 1 0 0 7 10 -
Lauren Ervin 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
Kristi Cirone 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cathrine Kraayeveld * 33 4-13 0-8 0-0 7 2 2 1 4 8 3 -
Essence Carson * 30 3-9 0-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 6 1 -
Janel McCarville * 26 3-5 1-1 3-5 4 2 1 4 2 10 14 -
Leilani Mitchell * 26 2-7 2-6 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 8 7 -
Shameka Christon * 21 3-6 1-2 6-8 3 0 0 0 0 13 10 -
Ashley Battle 21 2-5 0-1 4-6 5 3 0 0 3 8 8 -
Kia Vaughn 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Loree Moore 13 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Sidney Spencer 7 1-2 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Tiffany Jackson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Erlana Larkins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter