Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +1 (87-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 47 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 42 | 5-18 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Briann January * | 39 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 31 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Khadijah Whittington | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Christina Wirth | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 45 | 9-22 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 43 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 41 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle | 26 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 9-12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Coco Miller | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Shalee Lehning | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tamera Young | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter