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2009-06-06

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 31.9% 68.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% - โœ—
Margin 28.6% 71.4% +5.0 โœ— (17.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 40.1% 59.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 40.0% 60.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.5% 59.5% - โœ—

Actual: Connecticut Sun -12 (70-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Harding 36 4-14 0-2 4-5 2 7 1 0 2 12 6 -
M. Currie 29 3-8 1-2 7-9 6 1 1 0 3 14 11 -
M. Coleman 26 6-9 4-4 0-1 5 1 1 0 1 16 13 -
C. Melvin 25 3-9 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 4 2 6 6 -
C. Langhorne 25 2-3 0-0 3-3 7 3 0 0 1 7 13 -
A. Beard 21 2-6 1-2 2-2 5 2 2 0 3 7 7 -
N. Sanford 19 5-5 0-0 1-4 7 0 0 1 1 11 13 -
T. Humphrey 11 2-5 0-2 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
M. Ajavon 6 1-5 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
N. Blue 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jones 35 7-13 0-0 8-10 5 1 0 1 1 22 15 -
L. Whalen 34 7-16 3-7 4-4 6 4 1 0 1 21 15 -
T. Whitmore 27 2-9 1-1 4-4 2 2 0 1 5 9 0 -
E. Phillips 22 0-6 0-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 -3 -
B. Turner 21 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 3 1 -
K. Brown 20 4-6 1-1 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 10 7 -
K. Gardin 17 0-3 0-2 1-4 1 2 0 0 0 1 1 -
C. Black 13 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
K. Cirone 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 3 7 -
L. Ervin 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter