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Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 28.5% 71.5% +7.1 โœ— (19.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% - โœ—
Margin 38.8% 61.2% +5.0 โœ— (17.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 44.4% 55.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 44.2% 55.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 38.8% 61.2% - โœ—

Actual: Connecticut Sun -12 (70-82). Ratings: 2009 season-end ratings.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Lindsey Harding * 36 4-14 0-2 4-5 2 7 1 0 2 12 6 -
Monique Currie * 28 3-8 1-2 7-9 6 1 1 0 3 14 11 -
Chasity Melvin * 24 3-9 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 4 2 6 6 -
Alana Beard * 21 2-6 1-2 2-2 5 2 2 0 3 7 7 -
Nakia Sanford * 19 5-5 0-0 1-4 7 0 0 1 1 11 13 -
Marissa Coleman 26 6-9 4-4 0-1 5 1 1 0 1 16 13 -
Crystal Langhorne 25 2-3 0-0 3-3 7 3 0 0 1 7 13 -
Tasha Humphrey 10 2-5 0-2 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
Matee Ajavon 6 1-5 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
Nikki Blue 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Asjha Jones * 34 7-13 0-0 8-10 5 1 0 1 1 22 15 -
Lindsay Whalen * 34 7-16 3-7 4-4 6 4 1 0 1 21 15 -
Erin Phillips * 21 0-6 0-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 -3 -
Kerri Gardin * 16 0-3 0-2 1-4 1 2 0 0 0 1 1 -
Chante Black * 13 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
Tamika Whitmore 26 2-9 1-1 4-4 2 2 0 1 5 9 0 -
Barbara Turner 21 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 3 1 -
Kiesha Brown 19 4-6 1-1 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 10 7 -
Kristi Cirone 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 3 7 -
Lauren Ervin 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter