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2009-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 23.1% 76.9% -
Bradley-Terry 30.1% 69.9% -
Margin 26.0% 74.0% +5.7 (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.9% 58.1% -
Efficiency 5.1% 94.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.5% 73.5% -
Log Adjusted 26.3% 73.7% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +10 (79-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Claitt 38 4-6 0-1 0-0 1 4 1 0 2 8 6 -
R. Schaftenaar 37 4-8 2-5 3-5 3 6 1 1 3 13 13 -
S. Tarver 33 6-9 0-0 2-4 7 2 1 0 2 14 13 -
C. Haynes 33 5-16 2-6 4-5 2 2 0 1 1 16 4 -
D. Deane 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
L. Wallace 13 3-6 2-5 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 9 5 -
O. Johnson 10 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 5 2 -
J. Tarver 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
K. McShane 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Hampton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Bjornstad 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Porter 35 5-10 3-5 11-14 3 4 2 0 0 24 23 -
J. Catron 32 2-8 0-0 4-7 10 6 2 0 2 8 16 -
M. Humphrey 28 6-8 4-6 1-2 4 1 1 1 1 17 15 -
L. Longmire 21 4-9 1-2 4-4 3 0 1 0 2 13 6 -
J. Crittle 20 2-2 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 1 8 8 -
G. Sim 20 0-2 0-1 0-1 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 -
M. Dunigan 15 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
C. Odia 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
D. Wiley 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
K. Brown 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
F. Dorsainvil 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter