Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✓ (22.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +27 (77-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Navarre | 28 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| W. Bynum | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Howard | 23 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| D. Mbunga | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| A. Brown | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Johnson | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Rush | 21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| D. Piepoli | 17 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| C. Anderson | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Henderson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Palacios | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Banks | 24 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| J. Pena | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| W. Figures | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Proctor | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Y. Bonner | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Beitzel | 16 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| C. Kaba | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| N. Kingman | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Montgomery | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Dunsmoor | 9 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Wesolowski | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| L. Hall | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter