Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.1% | 36.9% | -3.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -8 (66-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Walton | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| K. Lucas | 32 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| G. Suton | 27 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Roe | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| R. Morgan | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| D. Summers | 17 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| D. Green | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Allen | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| K. Lucious | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| I. Ibok | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Gray | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Crandell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Thornton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Herzog | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Davis | 38 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| T. Meacham | 36 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Frazier | 35 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| D. McCamey | 34 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| D. Keller | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Brock | 7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Jordan | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Legion | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C.J. Jackson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Chisholm | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Cole | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter