Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.9% | 80.1% | +7.7 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.