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2009-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Lamar Cardinals UTSA Roadrunners Spread Result
Elo 62.4% 37.6% -
Bradley-Terry 38.2% 61.8% -
Margin 31.8% 68.2% +4.2 (2.8 off)

Actual: UTSA Roadrunners +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lamar Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Miles 40 6-21 1-8 2-5 10 3 0 0 2 15 5 -
B. McThay 40 4-12 2-5 1-1 1 4 0 0 2 11 2 -
A. Hall 37 7-12 1-4 6-6 6 2 1 0 1 21 17 -
C. Custer 32 6-7 0-0 1-2 8 2 0 2 1 13 17 -
J. Brown 24 4-7 0-2 0-0 6 0 0 3 1 8 9 -
T. Worrell 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 4 4 -
C. Harper 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
S. Williams 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UTSA Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Johnson 32 3-9 1-5 4-4 2 6 1 0 0 11 11 -
M. Smith IV 31 5-9 2-3 2-2 6 0 0 0 1 14 10 -
D. Gibson 29 5-8 2-3 5-6 4 2 2 0 2 17 15 -
J. Shank 28 3-7 2-4 3-3 0 1 0 0 0 11 5 -
T. Gabbidon 25 2-9 1-3 1-4 2 1 1 1 2 6 0 -
J. Bonney 23 3-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 1 7 9 -
L. Jackson 15 2-4 1-1 2-2 6 1 1 0 0 7 11 -
D. Stepter 13 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
R. Frohlich 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter