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2009-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 8.0% 92.0% -
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% -
Margin 20.4% 79.6% +7.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 60.6% 39.4% -
Efficiency 83.6% 16.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.1% 33.9% -
Log Adjusted 66.5% 33.5% -

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +2 (67-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Raivio 32 4-14 0-5 3-5 7 4 2 0 1 11 9 -
T.J. Campbell 30 6-12 3-7 0-0 1 5 0 0 4 15 5 -
B.J. Porter 27 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 0 7 -
K. Knutson 26 3-5 0-0 2-7 6 1 1 0 2 8 9 -
R. Smeulders 26 3-7 0-0 3-5 2 1 1 1 0 9 7 -
J. Stohl 22 2-5 2-5 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 6 3 -
L. Sikma 18 2-6 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
T. Ito 16 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 4 4 -
J. Hegarty 10 2-3 0-0 3-3 2 0 0 2 1 7 7 -
J. Hannibal 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. Niedermeyer 9 0-1 0-1 0-1 2 0 0 0 3 0 -2 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Foster 44 1-12 1-8 7-8 5 3 0 0 7 10 -1 -
J. Rahon 43 4-11 2-6 6-8 5 4 0 0 0 16 14 -
J. Bryant 41 5-12 0-1 12-13 21 0 0 3 5 22 29 -
M. Trasolini 38 6-7 0-0 0-0 7 0 4 0 0 12 16 -
C. Johnson 26 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
M. Santos 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 5 2 2 -
B. Dowdell 10 2-3 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
P. Petty 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Thompson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter