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2009-02-28

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 60.1% 39.9% -
Bradley-Terry 42.6% 57.4% -
Margin 33.3% 66.7% +3.8 (1.8 off)

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +2 (66-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Oliver 37 8-15 1-4 2-4 3 4 1 0 6 19 6 -
D. Calegari 34 3-9 1-4 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 7 4 -
J. Harden 34 5-7 0-1 10-14 9 1 2 0 5 20 20 -
K. Brucculeri 24 2-5 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 6 3 -
D. Carter 19 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 3 3 3 -
R. Silva 18 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 3 1 -
M. Boone 12 1-2 0-0 4-4 3 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
T. Lowenthal 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
N. Clark 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Malik 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Oestreicher 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Devine 33 4-11 0-1 3-5 7 1 1 3 2 11 10 -
J. Nunnally 31 7-11 1-3 3-4 5 2 1 0 3 18 12 -
P. Roemer 25 2-4 0-1 3-4 3 5 3 0 2 7 12 -
J. Serna 23 4-4 0-0 5-8 4 0 1 2 0 13 16 -
W. Brew 18 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 0 -3 -
J. Byrd 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
D.J. Posley 15 0-2 0-0 4-10 2 2 5 0 2 4 9 -
N. Quick 12 2-4 2-4 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 7 3 -
J. Powell 10 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 -1 -
S. Phippen 8 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Weiner 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Somogyi 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter