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2009-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 13.3% 86.7% -
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% -
Margin 39.3% 60.7% +2.4 (22.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% -
Efficiency 10.0% 90.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% -
Log Adjusted 34.3% 65.7% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +25 (75-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Diebler 36 2-12 2-10 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 6 -1 -
E. Turner 35 5-11 0-0 4-4 4 2 1 0 5 14 5 -
W. Buford 28 3-8 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 6 4 -
P.J. Hill 23 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 1 3 7 6 -
D. Lauderdale 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 2 0 2 4 -
J. Simmons 18 3-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 7 1 -
K. Madsen 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
B. Mullens 16 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 6 5 -
W. Offutt 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Moore 31 3-12 2-6 3-4 10 6 0 1 4 11 12 -
R. Hummel 30 6-10 2-6 3-6 4 0 3 0 2 17 12 -
C. Kramer 29 2-2 1-1 0-0 4 2 1 1 1 5 10 -
J. Johnson 27 6-10 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 3 12 6 -
L. Jackson 22 2-5 0-1 2-2 1 7 1 0 1 6 9 -
K. Grant 21 4-5 2-2 0-1 2 2 1 0 0 10 10 -
M. Green 19 0-1 0-1 0-2 2 2 0 1 1 0 3 -
N. Calasan 13 6-8 2-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 14 10 -
B. Riddell 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Reid 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Wohlford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter