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2009-02-28

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 83.5% 16.5% -
Bradley-Terry 8.0% 92.0% -
Margin 0.0% 100.0% +49.6 (57.6 off)
Pythagorean 67.1% 32.9% -
Efficiency 62.0% 38.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.3% 33.7% -
Log Adjusted 66.0% 34.0% -

Actual: Pepperdine Waves -8 (62-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lowhorn 35 5-12 0-2 6-8 10 0 0 0 0 16 14 -
D. Bryant 34 0-1 0-1 0-2 3 6 1 0 1 0 8 -
K. Vaughn 32 4-7 3-5 2-3 3 4 1 0 4 13 10 -
P. Smith 30 4-8 4-8 9-10 2 0 0 0 0 21 15 -
A. Caloiaro 25 2-7 0-4 3-4 3 2 0 0 1 7 4 -
C. O'Brien 22 2-5 2-5 3-4 7 2 0 0 1 9 12 -
B. Wallace 21 1-5 0-3 2-2 5 0 1 1 2 4 4 -
C. Hernandez 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Bell 31 8-13 0-3 2-3 8 4 1 0 3 18 15 -
R. Holmes 28 2-10 1-5 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 7 1 -
T. Darby 26 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 5 5 -
M. Thompson 23 2-10 1-6 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 5 2 -
G. Clardy 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 2 6 -
D. Suttle Jr. 18 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
M. Hornbuckle 16 1-5 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 3 0 -
L. Jackson 10 4-6 3-4 0-2 0 0 1 0 0 11 6 -
J. Dupre' 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Moore 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
R. Tucker 5 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
A. Shannon 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter